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We already thought Bloomberg might have abandoned its monthly analyst poll. We could not find one for March, and finally found one for April – after a lot of looking. It would have been a shame if the table would have gone AWOL. This month, the race was extremely tight, and most analysts – at least the ones who had the guts to make forecasts for the D3 and not just for the SAAR – came very close to the actuals. Top Ranked Analysts, April 2013 | | Analyst | GM | Ford | Chrysler | SAAR | SAAR Diff | OEM Diff | Overall | | Jessica Caldwell (Edmunds.com) | 11.0% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 15.2 | 1.88% | 2.37% | 4.24% | | John Sousanis (Ward's) | 9.0% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 15.1 | 1.21% | 3.37% | 4.57% | | Jesse Toprak (TrueCar.com) | 10.0% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 15.2 | 1.88% | 3.36% | 5.23% | | Joseph Spak (RBC) | 9.5% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 15.0 | 0.54% | 4.86% | 5.39% | | Peter Nesvold (Jefferies) | 10.0% | 17.0% | 9.3% | 15.2 | 1.88% | 4.07% | 5.94% | | Brian Johnson (Barclays) | 9.9% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 15.3 | 2.55% | 3.87% | 6.41% | | Christopher Ceraso (Credit Suisse) | 11.0% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 15.3 | 2.55% | 4.37% | 6.91% | | Alec Gutierrez (Kelley Blue Book) | 12.0% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 15.3 | 2.55% | 4.62% | 7.17% | | Emmanuel Rosner (CLSA) | 12.0% | 22.0% | 9.4% | 15.2 | 1.88% | 6.24% | 8.12% | | Patrick Archambault(Goldman) | 8.2% | 20.0% | 7.1% | 15.2 | 1.88% | 9.08% | 10.96% | | Rod Lache (Deutsche Bank) | 7.4% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 14.9 | 0.13% | 12.37% | 12.50% | | Alan Baum (Baum & Associates) | NA | NA | NA | 15.1 | 1.21% | 300.00% | 301.21% | | Itay Michaeli (Citigroup) | NA | NA | NA | 15.1 | 1.21% | 300.00% | 301.21% | | Ryan Brinkman (JPMorgan) | NA | NA | NA | 15.2 | 1.88% | 300.00% | 301.88% | | George Magliano (IHS Automotive) | NA | NA | NA | 15.2 | 1.88% | 300.00% | 301.88% | | Jeff Schuster (LMC Automotive) | NA | NA | NA | 15.2 | 1.88% | 300.00% | 301.88% | | Adam Jonas (Morgan Stanley) | NA | NA | NA | 15.3 | 2.55% | 300.00% | 302.55% | | Average | 10.0% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 15.2 | | | | | Actual | 11.4% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 14.9 | | | | The winner was last year's overall champion, Jessica Caldwell of Edmunds.com. She leads only a third of a percent in front of John Sousanis of Ward's, who is separated by a hair from third placed Jesse Toprak.
from The Truth About Cars http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com |
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